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Andrea Learned Andrea Learned   Bio
01.03.08

Overcoming the Curse of Knowledge in 2008

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As 2008 begins, learning to overcome the omni-present curse of knowledge is perhaps the best advice for marketers.

Face it. Just when you think you know everything about your brand, your industry, or your customer, you get blindsided. So instead, let us learn from the findings of Next Level Strategic Marketing Group (published in the 12/31/07 MediaPost Marketing Daily), and the top way the surveyed 80 marketing executives would change their current strategy: "Spend more time and money understanding my consumers and how to better meet their needs."

I second and third that. Yet, a funny thing can happen on the way to good intentions. Seasoned marketers may be in the most danger of getting lazy, and assuming they can pull the answer out of their personal in-brain database - and come up with the ultimate approach. But, as Peter L. Bernstein recently wrote about the economy in the New York Times: "To Botch a Forecast, Rely on Past Experience."

If the article's title isn't enough to make you think, here's a more pointed quote from within:

"As we have learned again and again, we seem to have great difficulty recognizing a changing environment (though it looks so easy in hindsight). Humans cling to early experiences and what they have understood, even when something different is directly in front of them."

Is that why it took marketers so long to realize that women were key consumers, and that learning to serve their higher standards was a wise move for reaching ALL consumers in the long run? Something different has been directly in front of brands for a good long while, but marketing humans have clung tightly to their earliest experiences in many cases. No matter how many reams of expensive research is left over from the 1950s to 1990s, how the shoppers from those eras bought is no longer relevant. So... let go.

As Janet Rae-Dupree, also writing in the New York Times, presented her similar to Bernstein's get-over-yourself advice: "...the walls of the proverbial box in which we think are thickening along with our experience."

Her point - in a well-written piece that quotes Chip Heath, co-author of Made to Stick, and Cynthia Barton Rabe, author of The Innovation Killer - is that experts in a given field can really benefit from an outsider's perspective. Maybe that outside perspective is input from consumers (as per the Next Level study), and/or perhaps that new perspective comes from a thought leader who connects the dots of a broader world with your brand. Remember that saying about seeing the forest for the trees?

Anyway -

While history or years of experience certainly serve a purpose in the future of marketing, the most powerful results often occur when history and experience are combined with a little humility and acknowledgment of limitations - whether individually or within a marketing team. With such an understanding, you can then get out of your own way to gather the great insights that come from consumers and outside-industry thought leaders.

So, you could learn from Bernstein's slightly cynical closing words about relying on history: "...the best lesson from the past is to forget it before it shoves you into trouble - and remember that surprises and ruptures surely lurk ahead."

Or, as Ms. Rabe more positively concludes Rae-Dupree's piece on seeking outside expertise: "Look for people with renaissance thinker tendencies... Make it possible for someone who doesn't report directly to that area to come in and say the emperor has no clothes."

Or, you could choose to approach marketing in 2008 with this in mind: "In seeking wisdom thou art wise; in imagining that thou has attained it - thou art a fool " (Lord Chesterfield)

Happy New Year. I mean it.



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Comments

Andrea, thanks for the link to the Bernstein article. I'm a big fan of his books. His point of the difficulty in discovering the inflection points is right on, or as he often says, we don't know when to sell high and buy low - we stay in too long. However, I am a believer that we can use the data of the past as a guide to the future, but with the caveat that the data should be considered a source in the decision making process and not solely relied upon for predictive value.

Posted by: Paul Barsch | 01.03.08

Andrea,
You have so many wonderful references in your post. May I add one more?

The book, Mavericks at Work, by Polly LaBarre and Bill Taylor.

Taylor and LaBarre underscore your point, writing that “the most effective leaders are insatiable learners” — constantly avoiding the tendency to think that they have all the answers.

One example the authors offer is attributed to Dan Wieden, Wieden+ Kennedy, and it’s particularly apt:

“Walk in stupid every day.”

By the way, your surname — “Learned” — is perfect for this post!

Posted by: Gwyneth Dwyer | 01.03.08

Great addition, Gwyneth - yes. I love Polly and Bill's take in their book. And, boy.. does Dan W. have it right, eh?

As for my surname, I used to think it only served my dad - who is a very learned physician - but realized that it didn't have to be what I was, so much as what I strived to be. So, here you go.. if I walk in stupid, I am always trying to be learned.

Posted by: Andrea Learned | 01.03.08

Andrea, good post.

I have found that some of the biggest strategic blunders occur when people think they know the customer, because they spoke to some of them.

Many executives rely on extremely small sample sizes of anecdotal customer / prospect interactions to make their key marketing decisions, when gathering the right information from the right market segments is not very hard (nor very expensive).

I applaud your theme of getting to know your market better, and getting to know it as it morphs in real time.

Posted by: Glenn Gow | 01.03.08

Great post. Lots to think about.

Too often, despite good intentions and knowing better, people succumb to pressures to save money and get fast results. The shortcuts aren't always the best route and end up not being shorter in terms of reaching your goal.

Posted by: David Reich | 01.03.08

Very good post, Andrea, but a better name for it might have been, "The Curse of Complacency."

Is knowledge really the problem?

Posted by: Neil Anuskiewicz | 01.07.08

I'm definitely saving Andrea's post. It's a cautionary tale worth remembering and working to reverse. I loved Gweneth Dwyer's comment from ad genius Dan Weiden “Walk in stupid every day.” Very apropos.

In response to Neil Anuskiewicz's comment above, I would urge Neil and anyone else to read Chip and Dan Heath's excellent book, "Made to Stick." It nails why the Curse of Knowledge is so deadly. And if you ever get a chance to sit in on a presentation by Chip Heath, don't miss it. He's great.

Thanks, everyone!

Posted by: Brian Teeter | 01.07.08

Thanks for the book recommendation. I used to read a business book every month like clock work but have been slacking lately. I need to get back in that habit.

Posted by: Neil Anuskiewicz | 01.09.08

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